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SYRACUSE, NY (WSYR)- After a brief chill down to start the week, we will turn much milder again across CNY Tuesday into Wednesday. It will feel unseasonably mild Tuesday and Wednesday like it has been for the majority of the time the last couple weeks.
However, the combination of a strong cold front and an area of low pressure developing along the front will provide a change in seasons across our area for the second half of the week.
As of Sunday evening, there were two solutions that the long range computer forecast models are presenting. One solution was a little snowier than the other, especially across the higher terrain.
As of late Monday afternoon, there is some better agreement on more of a snowier solution. Don’t put the shovels (and snow blowers) away just yet!
The European computer model (Consistent snowier Solution) is suggesting rain showers will develop Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night as a cold front slowly slides into and through the region Wednesday night. As the storm intensifies and moves up the front, rain will become heavier and ultimately change to snow after midnight Wednesday night. Snow would be steady and possibly heavy at times for the Thursday morning commute before tapering to lighter snow showers later Thursday afternoon. Snow tapers Thursday night/early Friday.
When all is said and done if the latest European model run is correct, most, if not all, of Central New York would pick up at least 1 to 4 inches of snow, but the best chance of 4 inches or more will be across the higher terrain and the Finger Lakes by Thursday afternoon.
Now the latest American model (GFS) is more in line with the European model and showing at least a few inches of snow for most and several inches of snow for the higher elevations. This is a change in data from this past weekend.
While the front brings some rain showers in late Wednesday morning, the storm developing along the front is slower than what it has been showing. Steadier, heavier rain will move in Wednesday evening, changing to snow after 8 or 9 pm. Snow would taper to scattered snow showers Thursday afternoon before basically ending Thursday night.
This time of year it is tough to accumulate snow during the day thanks to the higher sun angle. So if roads do become slick and sloppy late Wednesday night into the Thursday morning commute conditions would improve quickly late Thursday morning into the afternoon.
Needless to say, this is something we will be monitoring very closely over the next couple of days. Regardless of how much snow falls Wednesday night into Thursday, it is looking like we will turn much colder for Thursday and Friday (Good Friday) with some wind to boot making it feel more like February than the start of April. Yes, it’s a rude joke by Mother Nature if this plays out.
Stay tuned for updates from the Newschannel 9 Storm Team.
March 29, 2021 at 07:06AM
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Mother Nature may play a joke on CNY for April Fool’s Day - WSYR
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Joke
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